
Volume
$241K
Txns
2,034
Traders
498
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between July 30 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes 98%$5.86Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 83%$34.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$2.7Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$27.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 92%$1.26Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | rouletteoliver | No / 99.9¢ | -3.21 | $3.21 | |
| 1y | polyproguy | No / 99.9¢ | +3.21 | $3.21 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,538.80 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | MLBksRETARD | No / 99.9¢ | +8,691.80 | $8.68K | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4,453.00 | $4.45K | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | NastParMusk | No / 99.9¢ | +7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | X223466745655578 | No / 99.6¢ | -23.91 | $23.8 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -23.91 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Zykoer | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | phantomTrace1 | No / 99.6¢ | -0.31 | $0.31 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -0.31 | $0 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.31 | $0 | |
| 1y | phantomTrace1 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.31 | $0.31 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -58.62 | $0.23 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -41.38 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -91.15 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | scoobydoobydoo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | -8.85 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | scoobydoobydoo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | scoobydoobydoo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 |
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