
Volume
$1M
Txns
6,450
Traders
1,189
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between September 22 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 92%$4.27Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Trumputin | No / 99.9¢ | -600.00 | $599 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +600.00 | $599 | |
| 1y | 0xd2a2 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +137.00 | $137 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | Cincinnatus17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,666.00 | $6.67 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 99.9¢ | -50.25 | $50.2 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,908.08 | $1.91 | |
| 1y | carp | No / 99.9¢ | +10,849.33 | $10.8K | |
| 1y | Gdub | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | jeremyfrederick | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | trevormcneil | No / 99.9¢ | -9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 1y | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | No / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | No / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +925.92 | $0.93 | |
| 1y | BernardLHester | Yes / 0.1¢ | -925.92 | $0.93 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 99.9¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22K | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 |
1–25