U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.