
Volume
$60K
Txns
1,564
Traders
300
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 81%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 55%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 94%$4.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +293.36 | $293 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +91.80 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | Cassandrah5 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.30 | $7.29 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +7.30 | $7.29 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.2¢ | +191.56 | $0.38 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.7¢ | -7.74 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Piercef6 | No / 99.3¢ | -7.74 | $7.69 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +133.85 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.2¢ | +66.15 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.8¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.2¢ | +120.00 | $0.24 | |
| 3mo | lydia-rerumnostrum | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 1.1¢ | -90.91 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0xeac6...78cd46 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +90.91 | $1 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.3¢ | +115.71 | $0.35 | |
| 3mo | 0x84e7787EBF0A8131fE3Fe0D1a7325037d8197800-1770672655271 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -115.71 | $0.35 | |
| 3mo | 0x9048...b64a68 | No / 99.8¢ | +391.93 | $391 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.3¢ | +146.22 | $0.44 | |
| 3mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.2¢ | +45.71 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | DerPatriot | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 3mo | noooooooooooooooooooob | Yes / 4.0¢ | +14.28 | $0.57 | |
| 3mo | hiddenusercuzka | Yes / 4.0¢ | -14.28 | $0.57 |
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