
Volume
$235K
Txns
3,116
Traders
544
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$22.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.25Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.54Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 79%$23.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 91%$18.5Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$64.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0xSuperRekt | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,254.73 | $5.25K | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,254.73 | $5.25K | |
| 3mo | Teixeira10 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -713.00 | $712 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +713.00 | $712 | |
| 3mo | Lavincey | Yes / 99.9¢ | -88.79 | $88.7 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.79 | $88.7 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +74.62 | $74.5 | |
| 3mo | 0xf7E52b297D49b08d9D566057c1adCB72622eF6fC-1770958661460 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -74.62 | $74.5 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,863.89 | $5.86K | |
| 3mo | khai13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -135.00 | $135 | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +5,718.89 | $5.72 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,997.00 | $9.99K | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +9,997.00 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +9,998.00 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +9,999.00 | $10 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,999.00 | $9.99K | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,998.00 | $9.99K | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 3mo | bh2r54brvch4 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | Elfajad | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 |
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