
Volume
$35K
Txns
722
Traders
153
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 99%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 92%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1mo | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Rex416 | No / 99.8¢ | +1,405.00 | $1.4K | |
| 1mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +405.00 | $0.81 | |
| 1mo | ultralisk | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | Rex416 | No / 99.6¢ | +1,857.55 | $1.85K | |
| 1mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +257.55 | $1.03 | |
| 1mo | puposalbani | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1,500.00 | $6 | |
| 1mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +742.45 | $2.97 | |
| 1mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -742.45 | $2.97 | |
| 1mo | Dr.PNL | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ultralisk | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Dr.PNL | Yes / 1.0¢ | +10.35 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | e180 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.35 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | mmjs | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.8¢ | +5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xBE6078195C03C3F0F75a7AF29F7015591CB84626-1780226472993 | No / 99.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 1mo | 0x80E7e666409ffF559879d4567Bb6EAfE4D8Fd3A5-1764911698906 | No / 98.0¢ | -25.00 | $24.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | No / 98.0¢ | +25.00 | $24.5 | |
| 1mo | Dr.PNL | Yes / 1.0¢ | +108.11 | $1.08 | |
| 1mo | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | No / 99.0¢ | +133.11 | $132 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 1.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.28 |
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