
Volume
$6K
Txns
339
Traders
91
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$19,601
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -23.81 | $20 | |
| 3h | jxnasde | No / 84.0¢ | +23.81 | $20 | |
| 11h | nani | No / 83.0¢ | -11.76 | $9.76 | |
| 11h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 83.0¢ | +11.76 | $9.76 | |
| 11h | Goandsee | Yes / 17.0¢ | +11.76 | $2 | |
| 11h | nani | No / 83.0¢ | +11.76 | $9.76 | |
| 15h | nani | No / 83.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 15h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 83.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 15h | nani | No / 83.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 15h | creamyyy | No / 83.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 17h | creamyyy | No / 83.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 17h | Mrfuture | No / 83.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 21h | Eia | No / 82.0¢ | +11.11 | $9.11 | |
| 21h | 0x6e4b65e3cb413532f2314Ff2174adad3226A230C-1778346917996 | Yes / 18.0¢ | +11.11 | $2 | |
| 21h | 0xef7CF5Ba6eEc00a39a84E2d50d27038ee11ED17c-1777994851303 | Yes / 18.0¢ | +5.56 | $1 | |
| 21h | Eia | No / 82.0¢ | +5.56 | $4.56 | |
| 22h | fg321df3 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.2 | |
| 22h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -20.00 | $16.8 | |
| 1d | Pitu2123 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -53.00 | $8.48 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -53.00 | $44.5 | |
| 1d | Digital-Boy | No / 83.0¢ | -20.00 | $16.6 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.04 | |
| 1d | Pitu2123 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +33.00 | $5.61 | |
| 1d | vivi4024 | Yes / 16.9¢ | -59.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1d | Margo078 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.4 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 90%$25.3Mvolume
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Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
No 98%$1.07Mvolume
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No 90%$1.13Mvolume