
Volume
$44K
Txns
1,001
Traders
187
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | alwaysOn | No / 99.1¢ | +70.00 | $69.4 | |
| 10mo | ArcLing | No / 99.9¢ | +12.77 | $12.8 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | Qualitative | No / 99.4¢ | -122.77 | $122 | |
| 10mo | ArcLing | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x1a8q88jh81sz3lu11a888c8aa33sc111jl1 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,250.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,250.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +8.00 | $7.95 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | +8.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | +20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | +20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | +20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | +9.00 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.3¢ | +9.00 | $8.94 | |
| 10mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.3¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | +20.00 | $0.14 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | +20.00 | $0.14 |
1–25
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
No 81%$347Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
No 97%$156Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
No 75%$29.4Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
No 82%$13.9Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Yes 100%$298Kvolume
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
No 100%$57.1Kvolume