Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of Ukraine publicly agrees to a U.S.-approved peace framework for the Russo–Ukrainian war, by November 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the agreement must be explicitly described as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of either (1) the U.S. 28-point peace plan, or (2) a revised or alternative peace framework that the United States publicly states it has approved. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”, regardless of if/when the agreement is implemented, enters into force, or is fully carried out. Counter proposals by Ukraine, agreements to “treat the U.S. framework as a basis”, “work within the framework” or other ambiguous statements will not qualify unless they are clearly described by both sides or a consensus of credible reporting as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of a U.S.-approved peace framework. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.