
Volume
$36K
Txns
904
Traders
237
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the North Western hemisphere between October 6 and October 15, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
1–25
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$212Kvolume
El Mencho out as leader of Jalisco New Generation Cartel?
No 100%$3.84Kvolume
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?
Yes 100%$70.6Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?
No 100%$44.1Kvolume
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
Yes 100%$87.7Kvolume
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
No 100%$6.11Mvolume