
Volume
$1K
Txns
18
Traders
7
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.52Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.98Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Yes 86%$215Kvolume
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$483Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 75%$1.1Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
No 85%$138Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 45.0¢ | -2.93 | $1.32 | |
| 16h | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 37.0¢ | -0.25 | $0.09 | |
| 16h | GinoLaMenace | No / 40.0¢ | +209.82 | $86 | |
| 16h | 71ads | Yes / 61.0¢ | +6.64 | $4.05 | |
| 16h | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 40.0¢ | -200.00 | $80 | |
| 17h | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 37.0¢ | -84.00 | $31.1 | |
| 17h | GinoLaMenace | No / 37.0¢ | +84.00 | $31.9 | |
| 21h | ARG-611 | No / 37.0¢ | +2.70 | $1.03 | |
| 21h | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 37.0¢ | -2.70 | $1 | |
| 1d | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 35.0¢ | -81.11 | $28.4 | |
| 1d | 0xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-1764764006251 | No / 35.0¢ | +81.11 | $29.1 | |
| 1d | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 35.0¢ | -69.37 | $24.3 | |
| 1d | 0xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-1764764006251 | No / 35.0¢ | +69.37 | $24.9 | |
| 1d | PPR-H | Yes / 70.0¢ | +14.29 | $10.1 | |
| 1d | Sylvester.the.Cat | Yes / 70.0¢ | -14.29 | $10 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 41.0¢ | +62.56 | $25.6 | |
| 1d | Sylvester.the.Cat | No / 40.0¢ | -62.56 | $25 |
1–17