
Volume
$188K
Txns
3,563
Traders
584
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between November 17, 11:00 AM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 66%$32.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.35Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 59%$28.2Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 92%$1.09Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 74%$21.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | NovelBadger | No / 99.9¢ | -152.31 | $152 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +152.31 | $152 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 6mo | Bunter.Hiden | No / 99.9¢ | -1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.57 | $10.6 | |
| 6mo | 0x46F7270173EdCDBfb757BC7D62c1da72DEa7d77F-1757938984871 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.57 | $10.6 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.70 | $5.69 | |
| 6mo | Adamike | No / 99.9¢ | -5.70 | $5.69 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +43.47 | $43.4 | |
| 6mo | Noregano | No / 99.9¢ | -43.47 | $43.4 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.70 | $10.7 | |
| 6mo | ChickenCrossRoad | No / 99.9¢ | -10.70 | $10.7 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +54.79 | $54.7 | |
| 6mo | y0nteg | No / 99.9¢ | -54.79 | $54.7 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | reacbandella | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.93 | $7.92 | |
| 6mo | xdomi | No / 99.9¢ | -7.93 | $7.92 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.81 | $10.8 | |
| 6mo | Keepscrolling | No / 99.9¢ | -10.81 | $10.8 | |
| 6mo | kd47732 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +21.42 | $21.4 | |
| 6mo | Edwarddistance | No / 99.9¢ | -21.42 | $21.4 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.54 | $4.54 |
1–25