
Volume
$143K
Txns
2,672
Traders
447
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between November 17, 11:00 AM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 68%$32.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.35Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 58%$28.2Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 93%$1.09Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 75%$21.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Tipsmark | No / 99.9¢ | -18.00 | $18 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +18.00 | $18 | |
| 6mo | Nikita256 | No / 99.9¢ | -86.25 | $86.2 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +86.25 | $86.2 | |
| 6mo | thelighted | No / 99.9¢ | -9.52 | $9.51 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +9.52 | $9.51 | |
| 6mo | Wadery | No / 99.9¢ | -54.30 | $54.2 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +54.30 | $54.2 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +50.84 | $50.8 | |
| 6mo | 0x261C62592eE859696f091a07A635C7594089A6d5-1763274604286 | No / 99.9¢ | -50.84 | $50.8 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +20.61 | $20.6 | |
| 6mo | metahype | No / 99.9¢ | -20.61 | $20.6 | |
| 6mo | Pygorean | No / 99.9¢ | -121.95 | $122 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +121.95 | $122 | |
| 6mo | closedmind | No / 99.9¢ | -34.00 | $34 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +34.00 | $34 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | NaruthoHaha | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | taemaxx | No / 99.9¢ | -53.29 | $53.2 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +53.29 | $53.2 | |
| 6mo | HLEGumaUZI | No / 99.9¢ | +122.82 | $123 | |
| 6mo | 0x2c9474578b6D488bB15E76045A32FCcDf75A056E-1763577343126 | No / 99.9¢ | -135.58 | $135 | |
| 6mo | AstonMartinEnjoyer | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.76 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | AstonMartinEnjoyer | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.11 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Adamike | No / 99.9¢ | -7.11 | $7.1 |
1–25