
Volume
$321K
Txns
3,322
Traders
634
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 14, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between November 10, 7:10 PM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 86%$31.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.19Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 52%$27.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.08Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 51%$8.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +705.00 | $704 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | iglish | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +95.00 | $94.9 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | probability | Yes / 99.8¢ | +11.90 | $11.9 | |
| 7mo | HolyPost | Yes / 99.8¢ | -11.90 | $11.9 | |
| 7mo | 0x8867...7e4ae5 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -37.01 | $36.9 | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.6¢ | +21.02 | $20.9 | |
| 7mo | 0xfc7a...1d74e3 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -21.02 | $20.9 | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.6¢ | +28.28 | $28.2 | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.6¢ | +37.01 | $36.9 | |
| 7mo | 0xd486...de2287 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -327.48 | $326 | |
| 7mo | 0xe129...83f8e4 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -28.28 | $28.2 | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.6¢ | +327.48 | $326 | |
| 7mo | IamaLooser | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | 25usdc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,183.98 | $1.18K | |
| 7mo | ScottyNooo | No / 0.1¢ | +350.00 | $0.35 | |
| 7mo | JAHODA | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4,200.28 | $4.2K | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +158.00 | $0.16 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8,892.26 | $8.88K | |
| 7mo | OraculoCulo | Yes / 99.6¢ | -20.52 | $20.4 |
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