
Volume
$32K
Txns
553
Traders
128
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 14, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 79%$31.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.24Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 56%$27.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$66Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | PandaAgain | Yes / 0.1¢ | -943.46 | $0.94 | |
| 3mo | MacroEdge77 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,095.45 | $1.09K | |
| 3mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | -151.99 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | yougotme | No / 99.9¢ | +4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 3mo | lilith275 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 3mo | yougotme | No / 99.9¢ | +6.72 | $6.71 | |
| 3mo | 0xEbBFDfA04B9b25830BD45f583Fc866211Df69789-1774575762334 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.72 | $6.71 | |
| 3mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +198.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 0xba46...03b1a9 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | PandaAgain | Yes / 0.1¢ | +724.10 | $0.72 | |
| 3mo | yougotme | No / 99.9¢ | +1,302.10 | $1.3K | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | No / 99.5¢ | +15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 3mo | animalfrank | No / 99.5¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 3mo | Konfucious | No / 99.8¢ | -21.03 | $21 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | No / 99.5¢ | +1.28 | $1.27 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | No / 99.8¢ | +19.75 | $19.7 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | No / 99.8¢ | +16.00 | $16 | |
| 3mo | 1356789 | No / 99.8¢ | -16.00 | $16 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.99 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x94a8...eaeb68 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.99 | $1.99 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | Yes / 0.2¢ | +48.82 | $0.1 |
1–25