
Volume
$89K
Txns
593
Traders
161
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 14, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 79%$37.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 96%$3.42Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$30Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No 76%$1.45Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 3mo | 0xcebe...0588c4 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26.00 | $26 | |
| 3mo | Buddha0689 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.3¢ | +13.88 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | No / 0.2¢ | +72.00 | $0.14 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.3¢ | +13.88 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.2¢ | +35.48 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | jazmyn-inciduntlaudantium | Yes / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +140.24 | $140 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +280.22 | $279 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.3¢ | +140.11 | $0.42 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.3¢ | +140.11 | $0.42 | |
| 3mo | Malganis | Yes / 99.5¢ | +9.83 | $9.78 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.7¢ | -40.91 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | MagnusKing | No / 0.6¢ | +315.28 | $2 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.5¢ | -82.12 | $0.41 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.7¢ | -156.83 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.7¢ | -17.90 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.4¢ | -7.69 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.4¢ | -14.76 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.8¢ | -5.21 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | cool.keith | No / 0.8¢ | -6.00 | $0.05 |
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