
Volume
$5K
Txns
101
Traders
36
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 17, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$12Mvolume
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
No 99%$1.63Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 99%$38.8Mvolume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 86%$15.4Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$75.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 88%$4.79Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.5¢ | +117.00 | $116 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | +117.00 | $0.58 | |
| 5mo | plankton2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,964.66 | $1.96K | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.40 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +390.00 | $0.39 | |
| 5mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +107.96 | $0.43 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.73 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +112.00 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +183.00 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +116.00 | $0.46 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +253.00 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.58 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | fdamian | No / 99.6¢ | +4.02 | $4 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +4.02 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +3.01 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8E6f45918Fa1A10b62d9b55d544294644F8AA6C-1761355288391 | No / 99.6¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 5mo | flexer78 | Yes / 2.3¢ | +34.80 | $0.8 | |
| 5mo | gatschmahala | No / 97.7¢ | +34.80 | $34 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -9.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | tenda | Yes / 0.5¢ | +9.00 | $0.04 |
1–25