
Volume
$24K
Txns
408
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 17, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 80%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 54%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$21Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 54%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.20 | $5.17 | |
| 5mo | OneWayFlight | No / 99.5¢ | -5.20 | $5.17 | |
| 5mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | mygogogo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,010.00 | $2.01K | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -72.44 | $0.36 | |
| 5mo | Camo9047 | No / 99.5¢ | -72.44 | $72.1 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | mygogogo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.07 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xA88C23A9Eb1ff0219c4937cf374A1Ab617a43fC6-1766747384996 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +179.00 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +998.07 | $997 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +147.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +67.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.93 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +127.00 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | JaidenAnimations | No / 99.9¢ | +180.93 | $181 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.13 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | JaidenAnimations | No / 99.8¢ | +9.13 | $9.11 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +9.49 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4.57 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.18 | $0.02 |
1–25