
Volume
$2K
Txns
156
Traders
51
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 14, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$36.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 94%$3.25Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 61%$29.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.16Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0xDracarys | Yes / 99.0¢ | -8.12 | $8.04 | |
| 4mo | 0x6976...133185 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 4mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.0¢ | +3.12 | $3.09 | |
| 4mo | ronaldk | Yes / 99.0¢ | -146.00 | $145 | |
| 4mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +8.45 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | +154.45 | $153 | |
| 4mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +5.35 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x628e...021d80 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.35 | $5.3 | |
| 4mo | 0x8a12...8057e3 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1.07 | $1.06 | |
| 4mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +1.07 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +41.94 | $0.42 | |
| 4mo | TraderProMax | No / 2.0¢ | +22.95 | $0.46 | |
| 4mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +35.11 | $0.35 | |
| 4mo | vinii | No / 1.2¢ | -100.00 | $1.23 | |
| 4mo | 0x6976...133185 | Yes / 93.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.65 | |
| 4mo | 0xDracarys | Yes / 92.0¢ | +8.13 | $7.47 | |
| 4mo | 0x74be...e0d9db | No / 7.6¢ | +13.13 | $1 | |
| 4mo | TraderProMax | No / 2.0¢ | +2.04 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0x01d8...efb071 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +2.04 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 11011 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +8.05 | $7.97 | |
| 4mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +8.05 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | AJSV | No / 10.0¢ | +93.00 | $9.3 | |
| 4mo | 4... | No / 11.0¢ | +5.28 | $0.58 | |
| 4mo | vger7 | No / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 12.0¢ | +6.62 | $0.79 |
1–25