
Volume
$83K
Txns
782
Traders
154
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 12, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between December 1, 11:00 AM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$31.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.19Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 52%$27.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.08Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 52%$8.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | GEEK0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +606.22 | $606 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,388.78 | $4.38K | |
| 6mo | ironplayer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | Gabovzla | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | epps | Yes / 99.9¢ | -109.74 | $110 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +109.74 | $110 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | Noway5 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +950.00 | $949 | |
| 6mo | LinaBell | Yes / 99.9¢ | -950.00 | $949 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -892.48 | $892 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +892.48 | $892 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +2,659.00 | $2.66 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,659.00 | $2.66K | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | No / 0.8¢ | -577.36 | $4.62 | |
| 6mo | styrohead | Yes / 99.2¢ | -577.36 | $573 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,001.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,760.00 | $3.76K | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.2¢ | +749.99 | $1.5 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.8¢ | +749.99 | $748 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,499.99 | $1.5 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +233.00 | $0.23 |
1–25