
Volume
$82K
Txns
1,071
Traders
221
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 75%$31.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 55%$27.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +114.01 | $114 | |
| 5mo | sangeniu | No / 0.1¢ | +114.01 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | Skogeru | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 5mo | sangeniu | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | sangeniu | No / 0.1¢ | +56.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 9ANDA | Yes / 99.9¢ | +56.00 | $55.9 | |
| 5mo | sangeniu | No / 0.1¢ | +629.99 | $0.63 | |
| 5mo | Intersection | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 5mo | BSS37 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | CryptoHomie911 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -129.99 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +108.00 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | LukeGamma | No / 0.1¢ | +559.00 | $0.56 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +210.00 | $0.21 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +159.00 | $0.16 | |
| 5mo | GollumGekko | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,443.00 | $5.44K | |
| 5mo | 0xd917...8bb0c6 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +68.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +328.00 | $0.33 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | LukeGamma | No / 0.1¢ | +1,001.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | tolosacanovas | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 |
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