
Volume
$29K
Txns
277
Traders
58
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 94%$66Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 96%$36.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$24.8Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$2.44Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Leon-Z | Yes / 99.9¢ | +32.20 | $32.2 | |
| 5mo | educris | Yes / 99.9¢ | -32.20 | $32.2 | |
| 5mo | duderr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66K | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 5mo | 0xbae242171969618Fe17f12170445b370505A05F2-1766250514386 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,424.78 | $3.42K | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,414.78 | $3.41 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +297.00 | $0.3 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +190.00 | $0.19 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +393.00 | $0.39 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +196.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | zonh | No / 0.1¢ | +514.99 | $0.51 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +245.22 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,237.21 | $2.23K | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +135.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +266.00 | $0.27 | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | zonh | No / 0.1¢ | +485.01 | $0.49 | |
| 5mo | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | 0xB8c2b629E68A3Ece23e589d2E2346B75eec4a1b0-1759036627155 | Yes / 98.9¢ | -332.89 | $329 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +32.89 | $32.2 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +300.00 | $297 | |
| 5mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 5mo | yoro122 | Yes / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.8 |
1–25