
Volume
$6K
Txns
51
Traders
22
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 86%$31.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.19Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 50%$27.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.08Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 51%$8.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +914.22 | $913 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +240.00 | $0.24 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +310.00 | $0.31 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.22 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +164.00 | $0.16 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Pollycarp | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +984.89 | $984 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +124.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +16.11 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +544.78 | $0.54 | |
| 5mo | SumGuys | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.02 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +62.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5mo | outcomes | Yes / 99.8¢ | +62.00 | $61.9 | |
| 5mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | +48.42 | $47.9 | |
| 5mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.0¢ | -48.42 | $47.9 | |
| 5mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 5mo | flyeveryday | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.83 | $4.78 | |
| 5mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.0¢ | -4.83 | $4.78 | |
| 5mo | just-hanging-around | Yes / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 5mo | Car | Yes / 99.0¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 5mo | IRanIchTeam | No / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | Car | Yes / 97.9¢ | +449.35 | $440 |
1–25