
Volume
$52K
Txns
541
Traders
116
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 12, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between December 1, 11:00 AM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 77%$31.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 55%$27.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$21.2Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0x0A8F65Cd46C01A66676e54fFe06faFad07a91c31-1761937315889 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -53.74 | $53.7 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +53.74 | $53.7 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,121.77 | $1.12K | |
| 6mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,121.77 | $1.12K | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,213.10 | $1.21K | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +240.00 | $0.24 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +237.00 | $0.24 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +233.00 | $0.23 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +222.10 | $0.22 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +123.00 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +158.00 | $0.16 | |
| 6mo | daroghi | No / 0.2¢ | +28.10 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +28.10 | $28 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +972.90 | $0.97 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +972.90 | $972 | |
| 6mo | UwO | Yes / 99.5¢ | +399.99 | $398 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.5¢ | +299.99 | $1.5 | |
| 6mo | 0x8f3c...3bfb8c | Yes / 99.0¢ | -17.93 | $17.8 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.0¢ | +17.93 | $17.8 | |
| 6mo | FunTicketsSoldHere | Yes / 99.0¢ | -219.28 | $217 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.0¢ | +219.28 | $217 | |
| 6mo | Car | Yes / 98.0¢ | +32.65 | $32 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 2.0¢ | +32.65 | $0.65 | |
| 6mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 53.0¢ | +19.00 | $10.1 |
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