
Volume
$40K
Txns
1,035
Traders
200
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 81%$31.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54%$27.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | gramacrypto | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | M888 | No / 99.9¢ | +109.50 | $109 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | No / 99.9¢ | -9.50 | $9.49 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | paddaa | No / 99.9¢ | -89.04 | $89 | |
| 6mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.9¢ | -12.06 | $12 | |
| 6mo | GEEK0 | No / 99.9¢ | +101.10 | $101 | |
| 6mo | GEEK0 | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.29 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 6mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +463.71 | $0.46 | |
| 6mo | gdyhv | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +306.29 | $0.31 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +193.71 | $0.19 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.05 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +102.34 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +397.66 | $0.4 | |
| 6mo | ironplayer | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 |
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