Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?
ResolvedVolume
$292K
Txns
924
Traders
233
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 25, 2026
Volume
$292K
Txns
924
Traders
233
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 25, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump definitively announces that the United States will initiate military action against Iran during his 2026 State of the Union address scheduled for Feb 24. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Trump must clearly and definitively state that military force will be used against Iran. Statements that military action is under consideration, warnings, threats, or conditional remarks will not qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes or any other action which does constitute direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Announcements from Trump that the U.S. will strike Iran which Trump refutes or qualifies during the address such that the original statement is no longer understood as definitive will not qualify. The announcement must occur during the official 2026 State of the Union address. If the 2026 state of the union does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be video of the address.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +5.86 | $5.85 | |
| 3mo | 0xe96d...45a747 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.86 | $5.85 | |
| 3mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +840.00 | $839 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | -840.00 | $839 | |
| 3mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +103.41 | $103 | |
| 3mo | Hechuan | No / 99.9¢ | -103.41 | $103 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | Brokeboy7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,249.99 | $1.25K | |
| 3mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +1,149.99 | $1.15K | |
| 3mo | d1k21 | No / 99.8¢ | +31.21 | $31.1 | |
| 3mo | Dominic7465 | No / 99.8¢ | -31.21 | $31.1 | |
| 3mo | sun333 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | d1k21 | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | d1k21 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,881.97 | $4.88K | |
| 3mo | tigercager | No / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 3mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | No / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 3mo | Ram261 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,004.70 | $6.01 | |
| 3mo | ezpeze | Yes / 0.2¢ | -147.00 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | clinkz | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | No / 99.8¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 3mo | 0x15C0C7e24D5008B7C2F44d01C68d551091D28d40-1771802352901 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11,588.61 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | No / 99.7¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -819.94 | $0.82 | |
| 3mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -980.00 | $0.98 | |
| 3mo | 0x5dfa...2f9c89 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.59 | $0.59 |
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