
Volume
$175K
Txns
3,226
Traders
724
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
On February 20, multiple buses exploded in Tel Aviv (see: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/terror-suspected-after-2-buses-explode-in-parking-lots-in-tel-aviv-suburb-nobody-hurt/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the bombing by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals arrested in direct connection to the attack will qualify. Arrests of suspected accomplices who did not directly participate in the planting of these explosives will not count. Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If an arrest is made, this market may remain open beyond the end date in order to confirm whether the arrested individual qualifies according to the rules. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Costanza | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | -6.26 | $6.25 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +56.26 | $56.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | HJOPODFKHJ | No / 99.7¢ | -3,806.26 | $3.79K | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.7¢ | +3,806.26 | $3.79K | |
| 1y | Costanza | No / 99.7¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.7¢ | -500.00 | $499 | |
| 1y | HJOPODFKHJ | No / 98.9¢ | -306.26 | $303 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 98.9¢ | +306.26 | $303 | |
| 1y | Euan | No / 98.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $989 | |
| 1y | HJOPODFKHJ | No / 98.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $989 | |
| 1y | Costanza | No / 98.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $989 | |
| 1y | HJOPODFKHJ | No / 98.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $989 | |
| 1y | HJOPODFKHJ | No / 98.9¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.48K | |
| 1y | Costanza | No / 98.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.48K | |
| 1y | denizz | No / 97.7¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.47K | |
| 1y | ScienceDog | Yes / 2.4¢ | +500.00 | $12 |
1–25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 93%$293Kvolume
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
No 90%$36.1Kvolume
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
No 93%$129Kvolume
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
No 89%$506Kvolume
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
No 96%$85.1Kvolume
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87%$145Kvolume