
Volume
$73K
Txns
651
Traders
142
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test flight re-enters the Earth's atmosphere without experiencing a rapid unscheduled disassembly (RUD). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." If it is unclear and/or cannot be determined whether the booster experienced RUD before or after re-entry, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +4,967.82 | $4.97 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | sleepin | Yes / 99.9¢ | -988.98 | $988 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,836.80 | $6.83K | |
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | UxorSatanas | No / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +755.75 | $755 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +755.75 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.8¢ | +763.50 | $762 | |
| 1y | 0x7853...7936d8 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -763.50 | $762 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +707.44 | $0.71 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +707.44 | $707 | |
| 1y | sleepin | Yes / 99.9¢ | +488.49 | $488 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +488.49 | $0.49 | |
| 1y | sleepin | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +500.50 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +69.54 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.8¢ | +257.04 | $257 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +112.50 | $0.23 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +75.00 | $0.15 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.05Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39.3Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 95%$528Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$197Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$125Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$1.45Mvolume