
Volume
$7K
Txns
104
Traders
30
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight re-enters the Earth's atmosphere without experiencing a rapid unscheduled disassembly (RUD). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the fourth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the fourth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the fourth launch, and this market will stay open until the fourth launch has occurred. If the fourth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." If it is unclear and/or cannot be determined whether the Starship experienced RUD before or after re-entry, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX or Elon Musk however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | professorx | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | completion | No / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | professorx | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | farmboy | No / 0.5¢ | +2,096.68 | $10 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.58 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | funnyday | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,852.00 | $1.85K | |
| 2y | 7153649820 | No / 1.0¢ | -37.10 | $0.37 | |
| 2y | funnyday | Yes / 99.9¢ | +355.00 | $355 | |
| 2y | Anjun | No / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2y | professorx | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | Varyag | Yes / 99.0¢ | -14.12 | $14 | |
| 2y | 7153649820 | No / 1.0¢ | -14.12 | $0.14 | |
| 2y | completion | Yes / 56.0¢ | +25.00 | $14 | |
| 2y | Bohemian | No / 44.0¢ | +25.00 | $11 | |
| 2y | knaasw34 | Yes / 80.0¢ | +201.00 | $161 | |
| 2y | Einsteins Apples | Yes / 80.0¢ | -201.00 | $161 | |
| 2y | completion | No / 31.0¢ | +22.10 | $6.85 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 69.0¢ | +22.10 | $15.2 | |
| 2y | ChrisBill | No / 37.0¢ | -7.54 | $2.79 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | No / 37.0¢ | +7.54 | $2.79 | |
| 2y | Varyag | Yes / 63.0¢ | +14.12 | $8.9 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | No / 37.0¢ | +14.12 | $5.22 |
1–25
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
No 68%$0volume
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Yes 84%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 75%$0volume
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Yes 84%$0volume