
Volume
$1K
Txns
36
Traders
12
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight, successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. This market pertains to the fourth Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the fourth StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the fourth launch, and this market will stay open until the fourth launch has occurred - if the fourth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | punishedgoon | No / 7.0¢ | +50.00 | $3.5 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 93.0¢ | +50.00 | $46.5 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 88.0¢ | +3.75 | $3.3 | |
| 2y | DeCrap | No / 12.0¢ | +3.75 | $0.45 | |
| 2y | RuruAndrew | Yes / 93.0¢ | +1.61 | $1.5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 7.0¢ | +1.61 | $0.11 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 88.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.6 | |
| 2y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 12.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.4 | |
| 2y | JuneJean | Yes / 93.0¢ | +1.08 | $1 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 7.0¢ | +1.08 | $0.08 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 13.0¢ | +275.00 | $35.8 | |
| 2y | mcduck | Yes / 87.0¢ | +297.00 | $258 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 13.0¢ | +22.00 | $2.86 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 15.0¢ | +20.24 | $3.04 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 15.0¢ | +150.00 | $22.5 | |
| 2y | kickstandhater | Yes / 85.0¢ | +170.24 | $145 | |
| 2y | MasterMind21 | Yes / 85.0¢ | +7.06 | $6 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 15.0¢ | +7.06 | $1.06 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 15.0¢ | +1.18 | $0.18 | |
| 2y | JeromeNoel | Yes / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 |
1–22
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes 95%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
No 68%$0volume
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Yes 84%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 75%$0volume
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Yes 84%$0volume