South Africa Election: Will ANC win a majority of seats?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the African National Congress (ANC) controls 201 or more seats in the National Assembly after the results of the 2024 South African General Election, currently scheduled for May 29, 2024, are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 South African General Election does not occur by July 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the ANC, not any coalition of which it may be a part.