
Volume
$117K
Txns
1,700
Traders
203
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | MEGABASED | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | MEGABASED | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -62.30 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Lowyrok | No / 99.9¢ | -62.30 | $62.2 | |
| 1y | widepeepohappy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | PBJ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,758.51 | $6.76 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6,758.51 | $6.76 | |
| 1y | babi | Yes / 1.6¢ | +0.63 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 1.6¢ | -0.63 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 1.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | UBTrader | Yes / 1.6¢ | +5.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.23 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +79.23 | $79.2 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +7.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +53.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.00 | $0.12 |
1–25
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 50%$34.1Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$334Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
No 95%$2.87Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.39Kvolume