
Volume
$117K
Txns
1,700
Traders
203
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | MEGABASED | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | MEGABASED | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -62.30 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Lowyrok | No / 99.9¢ | -62.30 | $62.2 | |
| 1y | widepeepohappy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | PBJ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,758.51 | $6.76 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6,758.51 | $6.76 | |
| 1y | babi | Yes / 1.6¢ | +0.63 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 1.6¢ | -0.63 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 1.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | UBTrader | Yes / 1.6¢ | +5.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.23 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +79.23 | $79.2 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +7.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +53.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.00 | $0.12 |
1–25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 20…
No 95%$0volume
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
No 99%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 20…
No 89%$0volume
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 55%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
No 99%$0volume