
Volume
$2M
Txns
12,232
Traders
1,136
Fees
$0
Ends
May 9, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil between May 7, 2:30 PM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian ground territory. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Indian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 56%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.66Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.96Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | SailorbabyTT | No / 0.1¢ | +29,000.00 | $29 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +29,000.00 | $29K | |
| 1y | Johnmcmurphy | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,809.45 | $1.81K | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,809.45 | $1.81K | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.00 | $28 | |
| 1y | Perehorus | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.00 | $28 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +38.03 | $38 | |
| 1y | fmab | Yes / 99.9¢ | -38.03 | $38 | |
| 1y | Zhel | Yes / 99.9¢ | -313.16 | $313 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +313.16 | $313 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,802.74 | $1.8K | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,597.26 | $3.59K | |
| 1y | AJMM | No / 0.1¢ | +5,400.00 | $5.4 | |
| 1y | JG106 | No / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15,197.26 | $15.2K | |
| 1y | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,802.74 | $4.8K | |
| 1y | AJMM | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +752.26 | $752 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | +247.74 | $247 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | 0xa4ba...6ec5d8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Sphans34 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 |
1–25