
Volume
$45K
Txns
490
Traders
80
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2024
On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 79%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | CompulsiveGambler | No / 95.0¢ | +127.00 | $121 | |
| 2y | nothanks123 | No / 95.0¢ | -127.00 | $121 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 1.0¢ | +3.79 | $0.04 | |
| 2y | baggot | No / 99.0¢ | +3.79 | $3.75 | |
| 2y | CompulsiveGambler | No / 90.0¢ | +20.64 | $18.6 | |
| 2y | Sirbradflies | No / 90.2¢ | -25.64 | $23.1 | |
| 2y | Sarmad | Yes / 9.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 2y | FishyAF | No / 98.0¢ | +259.00 | $254 | |
| 2y | KougatWaffles | No / 98.0¢ | -259.00 | $254 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 1.0¢ | +1.56 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | wowshowman | No / 99.0¢ | +1.56 | $1.54 | |
| 2y | jaydee007 | No / 99.0¢ | +10.10 | $10 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 1.0¢ | +10.10 | $0.1 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 40.0¢ | -3.60 | $1.44 | |
| 2y | Scientific-Ad | No / 60.0¢ | -3.60 | $2.16 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 1.0¢ | +186.39 | $1.86 | |
| 2y | polysci | No / 4.7¢ | -200.00 | $9.32 | |
| 2y | Scientific-Ad | No / 39.0¢ | +3.61 | $1.41 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 81.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.05 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 40.0¢ | +5.00 | $2 | |
| 2y | _MILLIONAIRE_MENTOR_ | Yes / 2.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2y | Sarmad | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2y | Allleex-564 | No / 95.0¢ | -206.30 | $196 | |
| 2y | bbqdumplings | No / 95.0¢ | +206.30 | $196 | |
| 2y | Allleex-564 | No / 95.0¢ | -1.25 | $1.19 |
1–25