
Volume
$139K
Txns
1,805
Traders
365
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between December 17, 2025 ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.06Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.58Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.34Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.6Mvolume
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