
Volume
$139K
Txns
1,684
Traders
359
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Gov Shutdown for 10+ days - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election - LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election - Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000 - Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000 - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Insurrection Act invoked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.58Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.33Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 82%$22.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | Duf1988 | Something / 99.9¢ | -26.31 | $26.3 | |
| 4mo | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | Something / 99.9¢ | +26.31 | $26.3 | |
| 4mo | gdyhv | Something / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 4mo | Buddha0689 | Something / 99.9¢ | -22.00 | $22 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | xijingping. | Something / 99.5¢ | -5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 4mo | Buddha0689 | Something / 99.8¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 4mo | Chims | Something / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -91.20 | $0.46 | |
| 4mo | 0x3D70bf1DFA8C65D2FB4d186767E7b9b1250a2471-1770345505481 | Nothing / 0.2¢ | +613.20 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Starlux-35K | Something / 99.9¢ | -600.00 | $599 | |
| 4mo | Buddha0689 | Something / 99.9¢ | -22.00 | $22 | |
| 4mo | Chims | Something / 99.9¢ | +622.00 | $621 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -0.03 | $0 | |
| 4mo | cq-0 | Something / 99.5¢ | -0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | wallet-2 | Something / 99.5¢ | -0.09 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -0.09 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 15Mins | Nothing / 0.2¢ | -25.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -311.91 | $1.56 | |
| 4mo | wallet-2 | Something / 99.6¢ | -500.50 | $498 | |
| 4mo | danielpro | Nothing / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.3¢ | -9.60 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Nothing / 0.4¢ | -14.99 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Buddha0689 | Something / 99.8¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 4mo | Micah22222 | Something / 99.6¢ | +7.00 | $6.97 |
1–25