
Volume
$187K
Txns
3,057
Traders
455
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Ddonineteen | Nothing / 99.6¢ | -1.58 | $1.57 | |
| 2mo | yyyy77777yyyyy777yyy | Nothing / 99.6¢ | +1.58 | $1.57 | |
| 2mo | onekey02 | Nothing / 99.9¢ | -12,190.02 | $12.2K | |
| 2mo | yyyy77777yyyyy777yyy | Nothing / 99.9¢ | +12,190.02 | $12.2K | |
| 2mo | proposal123 | Nothing / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | onekey02 | Nothing / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | yen4u | Nothing / 99.9¢ | +765.76 | $765 | |
| 2mo | onekey02 | Nothing / 99.9¢ | -765.76 | $765 | |
| 2mo | goupday | Nothing / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 2mo | letsgo33 | Something / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | yen4u | Nothing / 99.8¢ | +616.52 | $615 | |
| 2mo | DusanKent | Nothing / 99.8¢ | -616.52 | $615 | |
| 2mo | yen4u | Nothing / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 2mo | DusanKent | Nothing / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 2mo | Arosscoll | Something / 0.2¢ | -79.28 | $0.16 | |
| 2mo | letsgo33 | Something / 0.2¢ | +79.28 | $0.16 | |
| 2mo | taukita | Nothing / 99.7¢ | -14.96 | $14.9 | |
| 2mo | 0xac6Cc801eA6dCBCDBD604363F8AaBC4a5CeDd437-1767010834860 | Something / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.28 | |
| 2mo | onekey02 | Nothing / 99.9¢ | -235.04 | $235 | |
| 2mo | 0x04D4635d23daB727d0dC223622202A6b02568c51-1763611440547 | Something / 0.2¢ | -2,000.00 | $4 | |
| 2mo | Trump2028 | Nothing / 99.8¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 2mo | plmr | Something / 0.5¢ | -136.98 | $0.68 | |
| 2mo | 0xa2DF7FF2FAA1F0717DF4B53c0Ad54589d5CEb36C-1776630927799 | Nothing / 99.5¢ | -136.98 | $136 | |
| 2mo | Elias.Thornwell | Nothing / 99.8¢ | +93.17 | $93 | |
| 2mo | Trump2028 | Nothing / 99.8¢ | -93.17 | $93 |
1–25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
Yes 100%$0volume
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 53%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 51%$0volume