
Volume
$139K
Txns
1,876
Traders
414
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between September 22, 6:00 PM ET, and October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.60 | $0 | |
| 9mo | anjihua | No / 99.9¢ | +2.60 | $2.6 | |
| 9mo | ggghhr | No / 99.9¢ | +45.05 | $45 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.05 | $0.05 | |
| 9mo | fshaeryh | No / 99.9¢ | +25.03 | $25 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.03 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | hjki | No / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.02 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +666.00 | $0.67 | |
| 9mo | 888j | No / 99.9¢ | +666.00 | $665 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +444.44 | $0.44 | |
| 9mo | 0x9E59F4f36A1F590b3FcD2e298DE6257A3F04A17C-1758112480439 | No / 99.9¢ | +444.44 | $444 | |
| 9mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.15 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | thecpp | No / 99.7¢ | -10.15 | $10.1 | |
| 9mo | 12figureg | No / 99.9¢ | +270.00 | $270 | |
| 9mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +270.00 | $0.27 | |
| 9mo | thebossofgr | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 9mo | 12figureg | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 9mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.3¢ | -65.26 | $0.2 | |
| 9mo | Blewth123 | No / 99.7¢ | -65.26 | $65.1 | |
| 9mo | 888j | No / 99.9¢ | -2.11 | $2.11 | |
| 9mo | melissa29 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.11 | $2.11 | |
| 9mo | 888j | No / 99.9¢ | -1.69 | $1.69 | |
| 9mo | kstout | No / 99.9¢ | +1.69 | $1.69 | |
| 9mo | 888j | No / 99.9¢ | -3.38 | $3.38 |
1–25
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
No 90%$0volume
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 96%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
Yes 64%$0volume
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in July 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
No 94%$0volume