
Volume
$40K
Txns
466
Traders
132
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 92%$27.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.37Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 71%$26.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$20.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0x9BF5cB69728D743FE2AF5CFEA75394Ff0ADcE03b-1768483443294 | No / 0.1¢ | +969.57 | $1 | |
| 4mo | bondibeach | Yes / 99.9¢ | +504.92 | $504 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 4mo | SterileScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -34.21 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | MartinaPampas | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +30.44 | $30.4 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 4mo | bondibeach | Yes / 99.9¢ | +495.08 | $495 | |
| 4mo | bauenohnelimit | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | cr1sss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.92 | $4.92 | |
| 4mo | cr1sss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 4mo | rkttjdwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 4mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,359.00 | $3.36K | |
| 4mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,359.00 | $3.36 | |
| 4mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +211.00 | $0.21 | |
| 4mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +211.00 | $211 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +90.00 | $89.9 | |
| 4mo | 2B9S | No / 0.2¢ | +295.00 | $0.59 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +295.00 | $294 | |
| 4mo | CluelessEyes | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | 2B9S | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +711.18 | $0.71 | |
| 4mo | 0x764993E0E317ce49c7581E6441F72135D4fC1adf-1767177321970 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +711.18 | $710 | |
| 4mo | abuseyjunction | Yes / 99.5¢ | +112.12 | $112 |
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