
Volume
$24K
Txns
757
Traders
83
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 97%$71.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$15.4Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.81Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 99%$37.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$69.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 99%$10.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.00 | $114 | |
| 5mo | DFarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | DFarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +128.00 | $128 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Hourglass | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,817.99 | $3.81K | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.99 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | DFarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,082.00 | $2.08 | |
| 5mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,333.00 | $4.58 | |
| 5mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,251.00 | $2.5 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +97.37 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +97.37 | $97.3 |
1–25