Volume
$60K
Txns
1,106
Traders
216
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No / 99.8¢ | +5.07 | $5.06 | |
| 3mo | uhhhidontknow | No / 99.8¢ | -5.07 | $5.06 | |
| 3mo | 0xc9f6...ced9f7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | mktestmm | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No / 99.9¢ | +148.15 | $148 | |
| 3mo | southbets | No / 99.9¢ | -148.15 | $148 | |
| 4mo | BuckshotBot | Yes / 0.1¢ | -45.45 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | southbets | No / 99.9¢ | -45.45 | $45.4 | |
| 4mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No / 99.7¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 4mo | pmtrader9 | No / 99.7¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 4mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No / 99.9¢ | +99.39 | $99.3 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +89.39 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x1c90...0ebbd5 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.61 | $20.6 | |
| 4mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.61 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Donkov | No / 99.7¢ | -994.98 | $992 | |
| 4mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,500.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | No / 99.8¢ | +3,494.98 | $3.49K | |
| 4mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.8¢ | -2.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | caibi7 | No / 99.2¢ | -2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 4mo | mktestmm | No / 99.7¢ | +5.02 | $5 | |
| 4mo | Donkov | No / 99.7¢ | -5.02 | $5 | |
| 4mo | ra5tadark | Yes / 0.4¢ | -11.00 | $0.04 |
1–25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 78%$0volume
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?
No 78%$0volume
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
Yes 53%$0volume