
Volume
$142K
Txns
2,524
Traders
394
Fees
$145
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | dodgerlive | No / 99.9¢ | -19.91 | $19.9 | |
| 27d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 27d | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +79.91 | $79.8 | |
| 27d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +350.00 | $0.7 | |
| 27d | sofiatauris | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 27d | marketzero | No / 99.8¢ | +400.00 | $399 | |
| 28d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +104.40 | $0.21 | |
| 28d | itstoolate | No / 99.8¢ | +104.40 | $104 | |
| 28d | lqf | No / 99.0¢ | -10.41 | $10.3 | |
| 28d | Oliver1978 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.80 | $1.78 | |
| 28d | romanew-crypto | Yes / 0.9¢ | -8.61 | $0.08 | |
| 28d | 0xff36...3ad5b7 | No / 99.0¢ | -18.34 | $18.2 | |
| 28d | dilution | No / 99.0¢ | +18.34 | $18.2 | |
| 28d | nanu | No / 99.0¢ | +9.34 | $9.25 | |
| 28d | 0xff36...3ad5b7 | No / 99.0¢ | -9.34 | $9.25 | |
| 28d | acrax | No / 97.9¢ | +26.32 | $25.8 | |
| 28d | 5dcheckmate | No / 97.9¢ | -26.32 | $25.8 | |
| 28d | 5dcheckmate | No / 97.9¢ | -27.68 | $27.1 | |
| 28d | 0xff36...3ad5b7 | No / 97.9¢ | +27.68 | $27.1 | |
| 28d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +45.59 | $0.09 | |
| 28d | v2ex | No / 99.8¢ | +45.59 | $45.5 | |
| 28d | Krejza68 | No / 99.6¢ | +77.07 | $76.8 | |
| 28d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +77.07 | $0.31 | |
| 28d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +172.93 | $0.69 | |
| 28d | gen.g | No / 99.6¢ | +172.93 | $172 |
1–25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 28?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
Yes 100%$0volume