Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$103
Txns
22
Traders
9
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$80
Ends
May 8, 2026
Volume
$103
Txns
22
Traders
9
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$80
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Yes 100% · $3.85M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 98% · $12.1M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 94% · $39.4M volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 71% · $20M volume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
No 98% · $2.07M volume
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
No 99% · $1.88M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | AJSV | Yes / 36.0¢ | +2.73 | $0.98 | |
| 2h | toshmo | Yes / 34.8¢ | -2.73 | $0.95 | |
| 1d | Tugaxe | Yes / 69.0¢ | +5.26 | $3.63 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 63.0¢ | +61.99 | $39.1 | |
| 1d | dz1ft | No / 37.0¢ | +66.47 | $24.6 | |
| 1d | stra-l11 | No / 19.0¢ | +5.26 | $1 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | No / 18.0¢ | +5.78 | $1.04 | |
| 1d | Ezexio | Yes / 82.1¢ | +10.96 | $9 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 27.0¢ | +2.74 | $0.74 | |
| 1d | toshmo | Yes / 73.7¢ | +2.71 | $2 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 44.0¢ | +1.79 | $0.79 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 56.7¢ | +1.76 | $1 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 36.0¢ | +3.13 | $1.13 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 64.7¢ | +3.09 | $2 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 69.7¢ | +1.43 | $1 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 31.0¢ | +1.45 | $0.45 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 31.0¢ | +2.90 | $0.9 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 69.7¢ | +2.87 | $2 | |
| 2d | korda77 | No / 26.0¢ | +5.34 | $1.39 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 74.7¢ | +5.29 | $3.95 | |
| 2d | Tugaxe | No / 24.0¢ | +5.26 | $1.26 | |
| 2d | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 76.7¢ | +5.22 | $4 |
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