
Volume
$766
Txns
69
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$481
Ends
May 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
No 82% · $4.26M volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 70% · $21.8M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 97% · $15.5M volume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Yes 100% · $1.04M volume
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No 89% · $7.13M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 87% · $11.2M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | empty-dog | Yes / 0.7¢ | -19.00 | $0.13 | |
| 3h | moneyboyorange | Yes / 0.7¢ | +18.99 | $0.13 | |
| 3h | alvaro25011 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3h | BigAII | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3h | empty-dog | Yes / 0.2¢ | +76.92 | $0.15 | |
| 3h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.01 | $0.04 | |
| 3h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3h | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3h | alvaro25011 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.45 | $0.03 | |
| 3h | ouytyryb | No / 99.9¢ | +300.36 | $300 | |
| 9h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.8¢ | +15.15 | $0.12 | |
| 9h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.98 | $0.01 | |
| 9h | molodoyy | No / 99.5¢ | +25.12 | $25 | |
| 13h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 3.2¢ | -15.15 | $0.48 | |
| 13h | 0xA0F4FC24817056A2a95984Edf487CB3831F44b3d-1774571719658 | No / 96.6¢ | -15.15 | $14.6 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -5.80 | $0.12 | |
| 1d | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 2.1¢ | -25.00 | $0.53 | |
| 1d | empty-dog | Yes / 2.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1d | empty-dog | Yes / 2.9¢ | -5.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1d | superwave | No / 60.7¢ | +10.38 | $6.3 | |
| 1d | BigAII | Yes / 9.8¢ | +50.95 | $5 | |
| 1d | latysh | Yes / 0.3¢ | +30.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1d | superwave | No / 99.7¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1d | latysh | Yes / 0.3¢ | +54.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1d | balthazar | No / 99.7¢ | +53.99 | $53.8 |
1–25