
Volume
$3K
Txns
125
Traders
40
Fees
$3
Ends
May 1, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$238Mvolume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 83%$2.55Bvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$78.8Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$33.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$64.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$18.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.54 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | agrarward | No / 99.9¢ | +12.54 | $12.5 | |
| 1mo | DkOYL | No / 99.9¢ | +1.46 | $1.46 | |
| 1mo | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.46 | $0 | |
| 1mo | SleepyPandaN | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +685.98 | $685 | |
| 1mo | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | TomCryptoDefi | No / 99.9¢ | -331.01 | $331 | |
| 1mo | alvaro25011 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | lineupdog | No / 99.5¢ | +8.76 | $8.72 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 0.5¢ | +8.76 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | lineupdog | No / 99.4¢ | +67.86 | $67.5 | |
| 1mo | Sabarinathan | Yes / 0.6¢ | +67.88 | $0.41 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | No / 99.4¢ | +10.30 | $10.2 | |
| 1mo | Sabarinathan | Yes / 0.6¢ | +10.30 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | balthazar | No / 99.4¢ | +57.99 | $57.6 | |
| 1mo | Sabarinathan | Yes / 0.6¢ | +21.81 | $0.13 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 0.7¢ | +6.19 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | Yes / 0.7¢ | +30.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1mo | DkOYL | No / 99.6¢ | +7.44 | $7.41 | |
| 1mo | latysh | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.44 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | balthazar | No / 99.6¢ | +37.00 | $36.9 |
1–25