
Volume
$83K
Txns
890
Traders
193
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 27, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | caiou | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -335.72 | $335 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.65 | $80.6 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.9¢ | +416.37 | $416 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,662.29 | $1.66K | |
| 1y | rpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,662.29 | $1.66K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | macroo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.1¢ | +9,800.00 | $9.8 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,207.86 | $10.2K | |
| 1y | SpikedTurnip | Yes / 99.9¢ | -357.86 | $358 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | mango-lassi | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | sigh | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1,505.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +1,505.00 | $7.53 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +490.00 | $2.45 | |
| 1y | Rasalgethi | No / 0.5¢ | -490.00 | $2.45 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.9¢ | +1,106.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1,106.00 | $1.1K | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.9¢ | +5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 |
1–25
SNHL: Bern vs. ZSC Lions
Bern 100%$407volume
SNHL: Kloten Flyers vs. Ajoie
Ajoie 100%$60volume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$3.87Kvolume
SNHL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Bern
Fribourg-Gotteron 100%$400volume
Will Harris reach 60% before Trump flips her on Silver Bulletin?
No 100%$35.7Kvolume
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?
Yes 100%$123Kvolume