
Volume
$83K
Txns
890
Traders
193
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 27, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Trades
Will Kamala lead by 2.5+ August 30?
No 100%$0volume
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
No 100%$0volume
Will Kamala lead by 1.5-1.9 August 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6?
No 100%$0volume
Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Harris 100%$0volume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | caiou | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -335.72 | $335 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.65 | $80.6 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.9¢ | +416.37 | $416 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,662.29 | $1.66K | |
| 1y | rpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,662.29 | $1.66K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | macroo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.1¢ | +9,800.00 | $9.8 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,207.86 | $10.2K | |
| 1y | SpikedTurnip | Yes / 99.9¢ | -357.86 | $358 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | mango-lassi | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | sigh | Yes / 99.5¢ | +1,505.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +1,505.00 | $7.53 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +490.00 | $2.45 | |
| 1y | Rasalgethi | No / 0.5¢ | -490.00 | $2.45 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.9¢ | +1,106.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1,106.00 | $1.1K | |
| 1y | TheNo1 | No / 0.9¢ | +5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 |
1–25