Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
202
Traders
73
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$3,436
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$4K
Txns
202
Traders
73
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$3,436
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.31Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.63Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 52%$1.74Mvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.88Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | third-eye | No / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.8 | |
| 1d | Bska36 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -100.00 | $1.8 | |
| 1d | keybo | Yes / 1.8¢ | -95.00 | $1.71 | |
| 1d | orin40 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -100.00 | $1.8 | |
| 1d | ChixNStix | No / 98.1¢ | -300.00 | $294 | |
| 6d | L0remaster | Yes / 1.2¢ | -0.19 | $0 | |
| 6d | Biver52 | Yes / 1.2¢ | +0.19 | $0 | |
| 15d | jeli8 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +11.00 | $0.11 | |
| 15d | unsleepy0 | No / 99.0¢ | +11.00 | $10.9 | |
| 15d | empty-dog | Yes / 1.0¢ | -0.19 | $0 | |
| 15d | L0remaster | Yes / 1.0¢ | +0.19 | $0 | |
| 23d | End123 | No / 96.0¢ | -96.73 | $92.9 | |
| 23d | third-eye | No / 96.0¢ | +96.73 | $93 | |
| 24d | jasperchaz | No / 96.0¢ | +15.63 | $15 | |
| 24d | End123 | No / 96.0¢ | -15.63 | $15 | |
| 24d | End123 | No / 96.0¢ | -100.00 | $96 | |
| 24d | Alegrandebig | No / 96.0¢ | +100.00 | $96.2 | |
| 1mo | 29Tesrsss | Yes / 2.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.28 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.9¢ | +10.00 | $0.29 | |
| 1mo | third-eye | No / 97.0¢ | +29.84 | $29 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.0¢ | +19.84 | $0.6 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 3.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | 0xB2539c6E857372D90BC648B59498Cb6e5eC42D38-1763200511015 | No / 95.8¢ | +1.04 | $1 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 4.2¢ | +1.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 29Tesrsss | Yes / 6.6¢ | -0.19 | $0.01 |
1–25