
Volume
$161K
Txns
2,777
Traders
404
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +650.87 | $650 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | fakwar | No / 99.9¢ | -1,200.87 | $1.2K | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -294.63 | $0.29 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -205.06 | $0.21 | |
| 2mo | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | -217.77 | $0.22 | |
| 2mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -435.14 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | Pajamapants | No / 99.8¢ | -5,474.76 | $5.47K | |
| 2mo | fm14 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | M888 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3,912.16 | $7.82 | |
| 2mo | ma99 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -553.63 | $0.55 | |
| 2mo | needAhouse | No / 99.9¢ | -553.63 | $553 | |
| 2mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.23 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xE354A3379Bb4CcD9c1Aa33Ee602bfFc627A2Fe5c-1774083702831 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.23 | $11.2 | |
| 2mo | Gato220 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.81 | $101 | |
| 2mo | M888 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.81 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | M888 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.78 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | Gato220 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.78 | $101 | |
| 2mo | M888 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -9.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 0xc8f0...786f2a | No / 99.8¢ | -9.00 | $8.98 | |
| 2mo | 0x572c...7b4360 | No / 99.8¢ | -7.89 | $7.87 | |
| 2mo | M888 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -26.96 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$73.2Mvolume
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
No 73%$330Kvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes 71%$2.31Mvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
No 64%$1.17Mvolume
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
No 97%$50.7Kvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume