
Volume
$46K
Txns
741
Traders
170
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 76%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Hinshaw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,333.00 | $3.33 | |
| 4mo | raymon1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | twobe3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +3,623.00 | $3.62K | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +1,150.06 | $1.15K | |
| 4mo | akunai | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | ears | No / 99.8¢ | -938.06 | $936 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +432.87 | $432 | |
| 4mo | ears | No / 99.8¢ | -432.87 | $432 | |
| 4mo | eratoxtenex | No / 99.7¢ | -68.20 | $68 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.7¢ | +68.20 | $68 | |
| 4mo | ganjubas22 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 0.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.5¢ | -7.45 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | alonl88 | No / 99.6¢ | -331.24 | $330 | |
| 4mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -168.18 | $0.67 | |
| 4mo | Kulborg | Yes / 0.4¢ | -146.97 | $0.59 | |
| 4mo | ganjubas22 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -8.64 | $0.03 |
1–25