
Volume
$881K
Txns
5,265
Traders
730
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 73%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
Yes 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Yes 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 94%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Yes 98%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 67%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | themugas | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,858.12 | $4.86 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -651.61 | $651 | |
| 11mo | Amosi | No / 99.9¢ | -4,000.51 | $4K | |
| 11mo | trump003 | No / 99.9¢ | +34.13 | $34.1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -34.13 | $34.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,464.00 | $1.46 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,602.00 | $1.6 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,605.72 | $1.61 | |
| 11mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,999.98 | $5 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -314.26 | $314 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +164.28 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | ja4 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -164.28 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.05 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | d3vdhruv | No / 99.5¢ | -1.05 | $1.04 | |
| 11mo | roadmapper | No / 99.8¢ | +2,404.15 | $2.4K | |
| 11mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,404.15 | $4.81 | |
| 11mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,595.85 | $5.19 | |
| 11mo | verysensitive | No / 99.8¢ | +2,595.85 | $2.59K | |
| 11mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +6.32 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | BustedCungly | No / 99.6¢ | +6.32 | $6.29 |
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