
Volume
$881K
Txns
5,261
Traders
729
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$23.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.47Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 71%$24.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$19Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.54Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | themugas | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,858.12 | $4.86 | |
| 9mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -651.61 | $651 | |
| 9mo | Amosi | No / 99.9¢ | -4,000.51 | $4K | |
| 9mo | trump003 | No / 99.9¢ | +34.13 | $34.1 | |
| 9mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -34.13 | $34.1 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,464.00 | $1.46 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,602.00 | $1.6 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,605.72 | $1.61 | |
| 9mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,999.98 | $5 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -314.26 | $314 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +164.28 | $0.16 | |
| 9mo | ja4 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -164.28 | $0.16 | |
| 9mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.05 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | d3vdhruv | No / 99.5¢ | -1.05 | $1.04 | |
| 9mo | roadmapper | No / 99.8¢ | +2,404.15 | $2.4K | |
| 9mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,404.15 | $4.81 | |
| 9mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,595.85 | $5.19 | |
| 9mo | verysensitive | No / 99.8¢ | +2,595.85 | $2.59K | |
| 9mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +6.32 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | BustedCungly | No / 99.6¢ | +6.32 | $6.29 |
1–25