
Volume
$239K
Txns
1,585
Traders
307
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 22, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 54%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 93%$4.27Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | moTi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 11mo | Qtyu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 11mo | Vvvtc | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | Qtyu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | Qtyu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | snakec | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | Vusiuz | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | Qtyu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | Qtyu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +211.00 | $211 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | Funfzig | No / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 11mo | 0x1f7105AA59c00404fF6A762608ea04AD6B7AAeBA-1750236631751 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | zerotohero8 | No / 0.2¢ | +5,000.00 | $10 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -488.46 | $0.98 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -511.54 | $1.02 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -425.31 | $0.85 | |
| 11mo | 0xE01a901075096DeBc4F5ED77C7d4Fe6587574FB9-1742932261260 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -425.31 | $424 | |
| 11mo | FrankOcean2028 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 11mo | alCapone-354 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -151.31 | $151 | |
| 11mo | digital | No / 0.2¢ | -51.31 | $0.1 |
1–25